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Home » Predictions » SC Farense x Benfica Betting tips for January 14 in Portugal Cup
Tuesday, 14 January 2025, 20h15 Portugal Cup
SC Farense SC Farense
PREDICTION Benfica Wins Probability 98% 1 X 2
Benfica Benfica
ODD: @1.2 Don't miss this prediction!

SC Farense x Benfica Betting tips for January 14 in Portugal Cup

Our betting tip for SC Farense x Benfica, Tuesday, 14/1/2025
📅 14/1/2025
20:15
SC Farense SC Farense
11.88
X
6.14
Benfica Benfica
1.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for SC Farense x Benfica:

🔮 Benfica wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Benfica, you can win up to $600.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for SC Farense x Benfica:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Farense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0.
👉 In the last 5 Benfica matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on SC Farense x Benfica?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on SC Farense x Benfica, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from SC Farense x Benfica for the Portugal Cup – 14 of January

🏟️ SC Farense X Benfica – Portugal Cup
📅 14 of January, 2025 – 20:15
🔵 SC Farense – Winning probability: 0.34% | Fair line: 295.56
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.90% | Fair line: 111.28
🔴 Benfica – Winning probability: 98.76% | Fair line: 1.01
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.75 SC Farense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between SC Farense and Benfica.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1245132 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SC Farense x Benfica

Is it worth betting on SC Farense?

🔵 SC Farense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 11.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.14. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $51.40;
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$938.60.

Is betting on Benfica worth it?

🔴 Benfica: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 98.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 990 times – having a profit of $198.00;
  • And would lose other 10 times – losing -$10.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$188.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match SC Farense x Benfica

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.75 SC Farense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Farense x Benfica

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.75 SC Farense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.75 SC Farense.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Farense x Benfica

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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