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Home » Predictions » SC Farense U19 x Tondela U19 Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal U19 League
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 11h00 Portugal U19 League
SC Farense U19 SC Farense U19
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
Tondela U19 Tondela U19
ODD: @3.4 Don't miss this prediction!

SC Farense U19 x Tondela U19 Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal U19 League

Our betting tip for SC Farense U19 x Tondela U19, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
11:00
SC Farense U19 SC Farense U19
2.20
X
3.40
Tondela U19 Tondela U19
2.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for SC Farense U19 x Tondela U19:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1700.00!

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The main points for the tip for SC Farense U19 x Tondela U19:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Farense U19 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-280.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tondela U19 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $555.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, SC Farense U19 scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, SC Farense U19 conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from SC Farense U19 x Tondela U19 for the Portugal U19 League – 30 of November

🏟️ SC Farense U19 X Tondela U19 – Portugal U19 League
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 SC Farense U19 – Winning probability: 39.72% | Fair line: 2.52
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.36% | Fair line: 3.0
🔴 Tondela U19 – Winning probability: 26.92% | Fair line: 3.71
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 SC Farense U19
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SC Farense U19 x Tondela U19 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SC Farense U19 x Tondela U19

Is betting on SC Farense U19 worth it?

🔵 SC Farense U19: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $480.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$120.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $792.00
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$122.00.

Is it worth betting on Tondela U19?

🔴 Tondela U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $472.50
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$257.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SC Farense U19 x Tondela U19

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 SC Farense U19
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Farense U19 x Tondela U19

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 SC Farense U19 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 SC Farense U19. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Farense U19 x Tondela U19

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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