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Home » Predictions » SC Paderborn 07 II x Rot Weiss Ahlen Betting tips for February 10 in Germany Regionalliga West
Saturday, 10 February 2024, 13h00 Germany Regionalliga West
SC Paderborn 07 II SC Paderborn 07 II
PREDICTION No tip
Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen
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SC Paderborn 07 II x Rot Weiss Ahlen Betting tips for February 10 in Germany Regionalliga West

Our betting tip for SC Paderborn 07 II x Rot Weiss Ahlen, Saturday, 10/2/2024
📅 10/2/2024
13:00
SC Paderborn 07 II SC Paderborn 07 II
1.63
X
3.91
Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen
4.14

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for SC Paderborn 07 II x Rot Weiss Ahlen:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for SC Paderborn 07 II x Rot Weiss Ahlen

The main points for the tip for SC Paderborn 07 II x Rot Weiss Ahlen:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Paderborn 07 II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Rot Weiss Ahlen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $850.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Rot Weiss Ahlen scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, SC Paderborn 07 II conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, SC Paderborn 07 II conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Rot Weiss Ahlen.
👉 It is not a good time for SC Paderborn 07 II as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from SC Paderborn 07 II x Rot Weiss Ahlen for the Germany Regionalliga West – 10 of February

🏟️ SC Paderborn 07 II X Rot Weiss Ahlen – Germany Regionalliga West
📅 10 of February, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 SC Paderborn 07 II – Winning probability: 61.91% | Fair line: 1.62
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.10% | Fair line: 4.74
🔴 Rot Weiss Ahlen – Winning probability: 16.98% | Fair line: 5.89
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 SC Paderborn 07 II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SC Paderborn 07 II x Rot Weiss Ahlen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1054913 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SC Paderborn 07 II x Rot Weiss Ahlen

Is betting on SC Paderborn 07 II worth it?

🔵 SC Paderborn 07 II: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.63. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $390.60;
  • And would have lost other 380 times – with a loss of -$380.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$10.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $611.10;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$178.90.

Should you bet on Rot Weiss Ahlen?

🔴 Rot Weiss Ahlen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.14. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $533.80;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$296.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SC Paderborn 07 II x Rot Weiss Ahlen

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 SC Paderborn 07 II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Paderborn 07 II x Rot Weiss Ahlen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 SC Paderborn 07 II and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 SC Paderborn 07 II.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Paderborn 07 II x Rot Weiss Ahlen

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves