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Home » Predictions » Others » Schalke x Nurnberg Betting tips for December 14 in Germany Bundesliga II
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 12h30 Germany Bundesliga II
Schalke Schalke
PREDICTION No tip
Nurnberg Nurnberg
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Schalke x Nurnberg Betting tips for December 14 in Germany Bundesliga II

Our betting tip for Schalke x Nurnberg, Sunday, 14/12/2025
📅 14/12/2025
12:30
Schalke Schalke
1.67
X
3.75
Nurnberg Nurnberg
4.61

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Schalke x Nurnberg:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Schalke x Nurnberg

Important information for your tip for Schalke x Nurnberg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Schalke in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $427.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nurnberg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $30.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Schalke scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Nurnberg conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Schalke is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Schalke x Nurnberg for the Germany Bundesliga II – 14 of December

🏟️ Schalke X Nurnberg – Germany Bundesliga II
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 12:30
🔵 Schalke – Winning probability: 53.11% | Fair line: 1.88
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.88% | Fair line: 4.37
🔴 Nurnberg – Winning probability: 24.01% | Fair line: 4.16
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Schalke
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Schalke x Nurnberg is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Schalke x Nurnberg

Is betting on Schalke worth it?

🔵 Schalke: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $355.10;
  • And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$114.90.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $632.50;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$137.50.

Is betting on Nurnberg worth it?

🔴 Nurnberg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $866.40;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$106.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Schalke x Nurnberg

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Schalke
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Schalke x Nurnberg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Schalke, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Schalke.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Nurnberg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Schalke x Nurnberg

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves