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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» SD Aucas x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Betting tips for April 16 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Wednesday, 16 April 2025, 00h00 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
SD Aucas SD Aucas
PREDICTION No tip
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
Don't miss this prediction!

SD Aucas x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Betting tips for April 16 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Our betting tip for SD Aucas x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador, Wednesday, 16/4/2025
πŸ“… 16/4/2025
00:00
SD Aucas SD Aucas
2.44
X
3.20
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
2.70

Our algorithm has selected this tip for SD Aucas x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for SD Aucas x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

Important information for your tip for SD Aucas x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SD Aucas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-123.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Universidad Catolica del Ecuador in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-240.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, SD Aucas scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Universidad Catolica del Ecuador scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Universidad Catolica del Ecuador, SD Aucas scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 SD Aucas matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between SD Aucas x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador, with SD Aucas as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, SD Aucas conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Universidad Catolica del Ecuador conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, SD Aucas conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Universidad Catolica del Ecuador.
πŸ‘‰ SD Aucas has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Universidad Catolica del Ecuador playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on SD Aucas x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on SD Aucas x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from SD Aucas x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A – 16 of April

🏟️ SD Aucas X Universidad Catolica del Ecuador – Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
πŸ“… 16 of April, 2025 – 00:00
πŸ”΅ SD Aucas – Winning probability: 34.67% | Fair line: 2.88
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.84% | Fair line: 3.47
πŸ”΄ Universidad Catolica del Ecuador – Winning probability: 36.49% | Fair line: 2.74
βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: 0.0 SD Aucas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SD Aucas x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1304535 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SD Aucas x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

Is betting on SD Aucas worth it?

πŸ”΅ SD Aucas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$146.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $638.00
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$72.00.

Is betting on Universidad Catolica del Ecuador worth it?

πŸ”΄ Universidad Catolica del Ecuador: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $612.00
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$28.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SD Aucas x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: 0.0 SD Aucas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1Γ—2 market for SD Aucas x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 SD Aucas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 SD Aucas.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1Γ—2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SD Aucas x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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