Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» SD Deusto x Basconia Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 4
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Spain Tercera Group 4
SD Deusto SD Deusto
PREDICTION No tip
Basconia Basconia
Don't miss this prediction!

SD Deusto x Basconia Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 4

Our betting tip for SD Deusto x Basconia, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
17:00
SD Deusto SD Deusto
2.44
X
3.00
Basconia Basconia
2.74

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for SD Deusto x Basconia:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for SD Deusto x Basconia

Important information for your tip for SD Deusto x Basconia:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SD Deusto in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Basconia scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Basconia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ SD Deusto has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Basconia playing at home.

πŸ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for SD Deusto x Basconia

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on SD Deusto x Basconia?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on SD Deusto x Basconia, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from SD Deusto x Basconia for the Spain Tercera Group 4 – 25 of November

🏟️ SD Deusto X Basconia – Spain Tercera Group 4
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 17:00
πŸ”΅ SD Deusto – Winning probability: 40.49% | Fair line: 2.47
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.96% | Fair line: 2.94
πŸ”΄ Basconia – Winning probability: 25.55% | Fair line: 3.91
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 SD Deusto
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SD Deusto x Basconia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SD Deusto x Basconia

Is it worth betting on SD Deusto?

πŸ”΅ SD Deusto: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $576.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$24.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $680.00;
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$20.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on Basconia?

πŸ”΄ Basconia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $452.40;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$287.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match SD Deusto x Basconia

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 SD Deusto
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SD Deusto x Basconia

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 SD Deusto and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 SD Deusto.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 SD Deusto.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SD Deusto x Basconia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteΓΊdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters