SD Revilla x Noja Betting tips for December 20 in Spain Tercera Group 3
| 📅 20/12/2025 17:00 |
SD Revilla1.90 |
X 3.35 |
Noja ![]() 3.55 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for SD Revilla x Noja:
👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for SD Revilla x Noja
The main points for the tip for SD Revilla x Noja:
👉 If you had bet $100 on SD Revilla in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $312.0.
👉 In the last 5 SD Revilla matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, SD Revilla conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Noja conceded at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from SD Revilla x Noja for the Spain Tercera Group 3 – 20 of December
🏟️ SD Revilla X Noja – Spain Tercera Group 3
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 SD Revilla – Winning probability: 44.72% | Fair line: 2.24
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.49% | Fair line: 3.51
🔴 Noja – Winning probability: 26.79% | Fair line: 3.73
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 SD Revilla
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SD Revilla x Noja right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455033 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for SD Revilla x Noja
Is betting on SD Revilla worth it?
🔵 SD Revilla: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $405.00;
- And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$145.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $658.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$62.00.
Is it worth betting on Noja?
🔴 Noja: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $688.50;
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$41.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match SD Revilla x Noja
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 SD Revilla
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SD Revilla x Noja
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 SD Revilla, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 SD Revilla.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SD Revilla x Noja
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

SD Revilla