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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula Betting tips for November 24 in Israel Leumit Liga
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Israel Leumit Liga
Sektzia Nes Tziona Sektzia Nes Tziona
PREDICTION No tip
Hapoel Afula Hapoel Afula
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Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula Betting tips for November 24 in Israel Leumit Liga

Our betting tip for Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
13:00
Sektzia Nes Tziona Sektzia Nes Tziona
1.78
X
3.34
Hapoel Afula Hapoel Afula
4.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula

Some important points for the tip for Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sektzia Nes Tziona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $363.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Afula in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Hapoel Afula, Sektzia Nes Tziona scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Sektzia Nes Tziona has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Hapoel Afula playing at home.

πŸ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula:

Analysis from Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula for the Israel Leumit Liga – 24 of November

🏟️ Sektzia Nes Tziona X Hapoel Afula – Israel Leumit Liga
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 13:00
πŸ”΅ Sektzia Nes Tziona – Winning probability: 56.25% | Fair line: 1.78
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.93% | Fair line: 4.01
πŸ”΄ Hapoel Afula – Winning probability: 18.82% | Fair line: 5.31
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sektzia Nes Tziona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula

Is it worth betting on Sektzia Nes Tziona?

πŸ”΅ Sektzia Nes Tziona: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – profiting $436.80;
  • And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$3.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.34. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $585.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$165.00.

Is it worth betting on Hapoel Afula?

πŸ”΄ Hapoel Afula: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $570.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$240.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sektzia Nes Tziona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Sektzia Nes Tziona and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Sektzia Nes Tziona.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Hapoel Afula.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves