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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula Betting tips for November 24 in Israel Leumit Liga
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Israel Leumit Liga
Sektzia Nes Tziona Sektzia Nes Tziona
PREDICTION Sektzia Nes Tziona wins Probability 7% 1 X 2
Hapoel Afula Hapoel Afula
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula Betting tips for November 24 in Israel Leumit Liga

Our betting tip for Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
13:00
Sektzia Nes Tziona Sektzia Nes Tziona
1.75
X
3.40
Hapoel Afula Hapoel Afula
4.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Sektzia Nes Tziona wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sektzia Nes Tziona, you can win up to $875.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sektzia Nes Tziona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $363.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Afula in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Hapoel Afula, Sektzia Nes Tziona scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Sektzia Nes Tziona has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Hapoel Afula playing at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula

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Summary

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Analysis from Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula for the Israel Leumit Liga – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Sektzia Nes Tziona X Hapoel Afula – Israel Leumit Liga
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 13:00
๐Ÿ”ต Sektzia Nes Tziona – Winning probability: 75.82% | Fair line: 1.32
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.75% | Fair line: 5.97
๐Ÿ”ด Hapoel Afula – Winning probability: 7.43% | Fair line: 13.46
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sektzia Nes Tziona
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula

Is it worth betting on Sektzia Nes Tziona?

๐Ÿ”ต Sektzia Nes Tziona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 75.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 760 times – profiting $570.00;
  • And would lose other 240 times – having a loss of -$240.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$330.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $408.00;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$422.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Hapoel Afula?

๐Ÿ”ด Hapoel Afula: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $210.00
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$720.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sektzia Nes Tziona
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Sektzia Nes Tziona, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Sektzia Nes Tziona.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Hapoel Afula.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sektzia Nes Tziona x Hapoel Afula

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves