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Home » Predictions » Others » Septemvri Sofia x Cherno More Varna Betting tips for November 29 in Bulgaria First League
Friday, 29 November 2024, 15h00 Bulgaria First League
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
PREDICTION Cherno More Varna Wins Probability 79% 1 X 2
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
ODD: @1.56 Don't miss this prediction!

Septemvri Sofia x Cherno More Varna Betting tips for November 29 in Bulgaria First League

Our betting tip for Septemvri Sofia x Cherno More Varna, Friday, 29/11/2024
📅 29/11/2024
15:00
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
5.41
X
3.70
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
1.56

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Septemvri Sofia x Cherno More Varna:

🔮 Cherno More Varna wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cherno More Varna, you can win up to $780.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Septemvri Sofia x Cherno More Varna:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Septemvri Sofia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $250.0.
👉 Cherno More Varna did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Cherno More Varna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Cherno More Varna is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Septemvri Sofia x Cherno More Varna?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Septemvri Sofia x Cherno More Varna:

Analysis from Septemvri Sofia x Cherno More Varna for the Bulgaria First League – 29 of November

🏟️ Septemvri Sofia X Cherno More Varna – Bulgaria First League
📅 29 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Septemvri Sofia – Winning probability: 5.27% | Fair line: 18.99
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.29% | Fair line: 6.54
🔴 Cherno More Varna – Winning probability: 79.44% | Fair line: 1.26
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Septemvri Sofia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Septemvri Sofia x Cherno More Varna right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229376 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Septemvri Sofia x Cherno More Varna

Should you bet on Septemvri Sofia?

🔵 Septemvri Sofia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.41. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $220.50
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$729.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $405.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$445.00.

Should you bet on Cherno More Varna?

🔴 Cherno More Varna: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 79.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.56. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 790 times – having a profit of $442.40;
  • And would have lost other 210 times – with a loss of -$210.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$232.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Septemvri Sofia x Cherno More Varna

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Septemvri Sofia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Septemvri Sofia x Cherno More Varna

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Septemvri Sofia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Septemvri Sofia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Cherno More Varna.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Septemvri Sofia x Cherno More Varna

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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