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Home » Predictions » Others » Servette x Lucerne Betting tips for October 31 in Switzerland Super League
Thursday, 31 October 2024, 19h30 Switzerland Super League
Servette Servette
PREDICTION Lucerne Wins Probability 26% 1 X 2
Lucerne Lucerne
ODD: @3.74 Don't miss this prediction!

Servette x Lucerne Betting tips for October 31 in Switzerland Super League

Our betting tip for Servette x Lucerne, Thursday, 31/10/2024
📅 31/10/2024
19:30
Servette Servette
1.84
X
3.80
Lucerne Lucerne
3.74

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Servette x Lucerne:

🔮 Lucerne wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lucerne, you can win up to $1870.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Servette x Lucerne:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Servette in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $340.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Servette scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Lucerne scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Lucerne, Servette scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Lucerne matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Lucerne conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Servette conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Lucerne.
👉 Servette is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Servette has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Lucerne playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Servette x Lucerne for the Switzerland Super League – 31 of October

🏟️ Servette X Lucerne – Switzerland Super League
📅 31 of October, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Servette – Winning probability: 52.38% | Fair line: 1.91
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.65% | Fair line: 4.84
🔴 Lucerne – Winning probability: 26.97% | Fair line: 3.71
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Servette
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Servette and Lucerne.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213227 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Servette x Lucerne

Is it a good idea to bet on Servette?

🔵 Servette: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 52.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – profiting $436.80;
  • And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$43.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $588.00;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$202.00.

Should you bet on Lucerne?

🔴 Lucerne: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $739.80;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$9.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Servette x Lucerne

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Servette
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Servette x Lucerne

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Servette, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Servette.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Lucerne.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Servette x Lucerne

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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