Sevilla x Atletico Madrid Betting tips for April 6 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Sevilla x Atletico Madrid, Sunday, 6/4/2025

📅 6/4/2025 14:15

Sevilla 3.30

X 3.20

Atletico Madrid 2.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sevilla x Atletico Madrid:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Sevilla x Atletico Madrid

Important information for your tip for Sevilla x Atletico Madrid: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sevilla in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-290.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Atletico Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Sevilla conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Atletico Madrid conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Sevilla x Atletico Madrid for the Spain La Liga – 6 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sevilla x Atletico Madrid right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1296560 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sevilla x Atletico Madrid

Should you bet on Sevilla?

🔵 Sevilla: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $575.00;
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$175.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $594.00
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Madrid?

🔴 Atletico Madrid: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $576.00;
• And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$56.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sevilla x Atletico Madrid

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sevilla
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sevilla x Atletico Madrid

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Sevilla and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Sevilla. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sevilla x Atletico Madrid

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.