SFC Minerva x Atletico Santa Cruz Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Tercera Group 13

Our betting tip for SFC Minerva x Atletico Santa Cruz, Sunday, 14/12/2025

📅 14/12/2025 10:30

SFC Minerva 3.05

X 2.90

Atletico Santa Cruz 2.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for SFC Minerva x Atletico Santa Cruz:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for SFC Minerva x Atletico Santa Cruz

Some important points for the tip for SFC Minerva x Atletico Santa Cruz:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SFC Minerva in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Santa Cruz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1035.0.

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Analysis from SFC Minerva x Atletico Santa Cruz for the Spain Tercera Group 13 – 14 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SFC Minerva x Atletico Santa Cruz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452657 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SFC Minerva x Atletico Santa Cruz

Is it worth betting on SFC Minerva?

🔵 SFC Minerva: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $451.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$329.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $627.00;
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$43.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on Atletico Santa Cruz worth it?

🔴 Atletico Santa Cruz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 450 times – profiting $562.50;
• And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$12.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match SFC Minerva x Atletico Santa Cruz

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 SFC Minerva
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SFC Minerva x Atletico Santa Cruz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 SFC Minerva, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 SFC Minerva.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Atletico Santa Cruz.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SFC Minerva x Atletico Santa Cruz

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.