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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Shamakhi FK x FK Kapaz Betting tips for November 30 in Azerbaijan Premier League
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 10h30 Azerbaijan Premier League
Shamakhi FK Shamakhi FK
PREDICTION No tip
FK Kapaz FK Kapaz
Don't miss this prediction!

Shamakhi FK x FK Kapaz Betting tips for November 30 in Azerbaijan Premier League

Our betting tip for Shamakhi FK x FK Kapaz, Saturday, 30/11/2024
πŸ“… 30/11/2024
10:30
Shamakhi FK Shamakhi FK
1.74
X
3.44
FK Kapaz FK Kapaz
4.11

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Shamakhi FK x FK Kapaz:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Shamakhi FK x FK Kapaz

Some important points for the tip for Shamakhi FK x FK Kapaz:

πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, FK Kapaz scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against FK Kapaz, Shamakhi FK scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Shamakhi FK x FK Kapaz, with Shamakhi FK as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 FK Kapaz matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Shamakhi FK conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Shamakhi FK has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against FK Kapaz playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Shamakhi FK x FK Kapaz?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Shamakhi FK x FK Kapaz:

Analysis from Shamakhi FK x FK Kapaz for the Azerbaijan Premier League – 30 of November

🏟️ Shamakhi FK X FK Kapaz – Azerbaijan Premier League
πŸ“… 30 of November, 2024 – 10:30
πŸ”΅ Shamakhi FK – Winning probability: 51.20% | Fair line: 1.95
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.14% | Fair line: 3.43
πŸ”΄ FK Kapaz – Winning probability: 19.66% | Fair line: 5.09
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Shamakhi FK
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Shamakhi FK and FK Kapaz.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229758 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Shamakhi FK x FK Kapaz

Should you bet on Shamakhi FK?

πŸ”΅ Shamakhi FK: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $377.40
  • And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$112.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.44. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $707.60
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$2.40.

Is betting on FK Kapaz worth it?

πŸ”΄ FK Kapaz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.11. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $622.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$178.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Shamakhi FK x FK Kapaz

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Shamakhi FK
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Shamakhi FK x FK Kapaz

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Shamakhi FK, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Shamakhi FK.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Shamakhi FK.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Shamakhi FK x FK Kapaz

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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