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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Shamakhi FK x FK Karvan Betting tips for November 24 in Azerbaijan Division 1
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Azerbaijan Division 1
Shamakhi FK Shamakhi FK
PREDICTION Shamakhi FK wins Probability 5% 1 X 2
FK Karvan FK Karvan
ODD: @1.44 Don't miss this prediction!

Shamakhi FK x FK Karvan Betting tips for November 24 in Azerbaijan Division 1

Our betting tip for Shamakhi FK x FK Karvan, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
10:00
Shamakhi FK Shamakhi FK
1.44
X
4.29
FK Karvan FK Karvan
5.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Shamakhi FK x FK Karvan:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Shamakhi FK wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Shamakhi FK, you can win up to $720.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Shamakhi FK x FK Karvan:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FK Karvan in each of its last 3 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-164.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Shamakhi FK scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, FK Karvan has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Shamakhi FK x FK Karvan

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Shamakhi FK x FK Karvan?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Shamakhi FK x FK Karvan:

Analysis from Shamakhi FK x FK Karvan for the Azerbaijan Division 1 – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Shamakhi FK X FK Karvan – Azerbaijan Division 1
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 10:00
๐Ÿ”ต Shamakhi FK – Winning probability: 80.91% | Fair line: 1.24
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.95% | Fair line: 7.17
๐Ÿ”ด FK Karvan – Winning probability: 5.14% | Fair line: 19.47
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Shamakhi FK
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Shamakhi FK x FK Karvan right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Shamakhi FK x FK Karvan

Is it a good idea to bet on Shamakhi FK?

๐Ÿ”ต Shamakhi FK: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 810 times – profiting $356.40;
  • And would have lost other 190 times – with a loss of -$190.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$166.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.29. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $460.60
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$399.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on FK Karvan?

๐Ÿ”ด FK Karvan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $212.50
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$737.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Shamakhi FK x FK Karvan

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Shamakhi FK
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Shamakhi FK x FK Karvan

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Shamakhi FK and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Shamakhi FK.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 FK Karvan.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Shamakhi FK x FK Karvan

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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