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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Shamakhi FK x PFK Turan Tovuz Betting tips for September 29 in Azerbaijan Premier League
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 09h00 Azerbaijan Premier League
Shamakhi FK Shamakhi FK
PREDICTION No tip
PFK Turan Tovuz PFK Turan Tovuz
Don't miss this prediction!

Shamakhi FK x PFK Turan Tovuz Betting tips for September 29 in Azerbaijan Premier League

Our betting tip for Shamakhi FK x PFK Turan Tovuz, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
09:00
Shamakhi FK Shamakhi FK
2.64
X
3.10
PFK Turan Tovuz PFK Turan Tovuz
2.40

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Shamakhi FK x PFK Turan Tovuz:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Shamakhi FK x PFK Turan Tovuz

The main points for the tip for Shamakhi FK x PFK Turan Tovuz:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on PFK Turan Tovuz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $300.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, PFK Turan Tovuz scored at least 1.0 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Shamakhi FK x PFK Turan Tovuz, with Shamakhi FK as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Shamakhi FK conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against PFK Turan Tovuz.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, PFK Turan Tovuz has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ Even as a visitor, PFK Turan Tovuz won the last 3 head-to-head matches Shamakhi FKΒ΄s territory

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Shamakhi FK x PFK Turan Tovuz?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Shamakhi FK x PFK Turan Tovuz:

Analysis from Shamakhi FK x PFK Turan Tovuz for the Azerbaijan Premier League – 29 of September

🏟️ Shamakhi FK X PFK Turan Tovuz – Azerbaijan Premier League
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 09:00
πŸ”΅ Shamakhi FK – Winning probability: 30.33% | Fair line: 3.3
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.21% | Fair line: 3.54
πŸ”΄ PFK Turan Tovuz – Winning probability: 41.46% | Fair line: 2.41
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Shamakhi FK
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Shamakhi FK x PFK Turan Tovuz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Shamakhi FK x PFK Turan Tovuz

Should you bet on Shamakhi FK?

πŸ”΅ Shamakhi FK: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.64. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $492.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$208.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $588.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$132.00.

Should you bet on PFK Turan Tovuz?

πŸ”΄ PFK Turan Tovuz: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – profiting $574.00;
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$16.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Shamakhi FK x PFK Turan Tovuz

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Shamakhi FK
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Shamakhi FK x PFK Turan Tovuz

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Shamakhi FK and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Shamakhi FK.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Shamakhi FK x PFK Turan Tovuz

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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