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Home » Predictions » Others » Sheff Utd x Swansea Betting tips for October 2 in England Championship
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 15h45 England Championship
Sheff Utd Sheff Utd
PREDICTION Sheff Utd wins Probability 67% 1 X 2
Swansea Swansea
ODD: @1.72 Don't miss this prediction!

Sheff Utd x Swansea Betting tips for October 2 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Sheff Utd x Swansea, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
📅 2/10/2024
15:45
Sheff Utd Sheff Utd
1.72
X
3.82
Swansea Swansea
4.43

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sheff Utd x Swansea:

🔮 Sheff Utd wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sheff Utd, you can win up to $860.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Sheff Utd x Swansea:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sheff Utd in each of its last 4 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $103.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Swansea in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Sheff Utd scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Swansea, Sheff Utd scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Sheff Utd x Swansea, with Sheff Utd as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Swansea conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Sheff Utd x Swansea for the England Championship – 2 of October

🏟️ Sheff Utd X Swansea – England Championship
📅 2 of October, 2024 – 15:45
🔵 Sheff Utd – Winning probability: 67.92% | Fair line: 1.47
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.08% | Fair line: 5.53
🔴 Swansea – Winning probability: 13.99% | Fair line: 7.15
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sheff Utd
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 11.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Sheff Utd x Swansea is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1193870 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sheff Utd x Swansea

Is betting on Sheff Utd worth it?

🔵 Sheff Utd: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 67.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 680 times – this would give you a profit of $489.60
  • And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$169.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.82. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $507.60;
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$312.40.

Should you bet on Swansea?

🔴 Swansea: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.43. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $480.20;
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$379.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sheff Utd x Swansea

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sheff Utd
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sheff Utd x Swansea

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Sheff Utd and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Sheff Utd.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Swansea.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sheff Utd x Swansea

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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