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Home » Predictions » Sheger Ketema x Addis Ababa Ketema Betting tips for November 27 in Ethiopia Higher League
Wednesday, 27 November 2024, 10h00 Ethiopia Higher League
Sheger Ketema Sheger Ketema
PREDICTION Sheger Ketema wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
Addis Ababa Ketema Addis Ababa Ketema
ODD: @2.04 Don't miss this prediction!

Sheger Ketema x Addis Ababa Ketema Betting tips for November 27 in Ethiopia Higher League

Our betting tip for Sheger Ketema x Addis Ababa Ketema, Wednesday, 27/11/2024
📅 27/11/2024
10:00
Sheger Ketema Sheger Ketema
2.04
X
3.30
Addis Ababa Ketema Addis Ababa Ketema
3.04

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sheger Ketema x Addis Ababa Ketema:

🔮 Sheger Ketema wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sheger Ketema, you can win up to $1020.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Sheger Ketema x Addis Ababa Ketema:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sheger Ketema in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-40.0.
👉 Addis Ababa Ketema did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 Sheger Ketema matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Addis Ababa Ketema has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Sheger Ketema x Addis Ababa Ketema for the Ethiopia Higher League – 27 of November

🏟️ Sheger Ketema X Addis Ababa Ketema – Ethiopia Higher League
📅 27 of November, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 Sheger Ketema – Winning probability: 55.46% | Fair line: 1.8
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.48% | Fair line: 4.45
🔴 Addis Ababa Ketema – Winning probability: 22.06% | Fair line: 4.53
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sheger Ketema
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sheger Ketema x Addis Ababa Ketema right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1228778 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sheger Ketema x Addis Ababa Ketema

Is it worth betting on Sheger Ketema?

🔵 Sheger Ketema: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
  • And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$122.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $506.00;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$274.00.

Should you bet on Addis Ababa Ketema?

🔴 Addis Ababa Ketema: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $448.80
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$331.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sheger Ketema x Addis Ababa Ketema

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sheger Ketema
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sheger Ketema x Addis Ababa Ketema

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Sheger Ketema, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Sheger Ketema.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Sheger Ketema.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sheger Ketema x Addis Ababa Ketema

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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