Shelbourne x Crystal Palace Betting tips for December 11 in UEFA Conference League
| 📅 11/12/2025 20:00 |
 Shelbourne12.00 |
X 7.38 |
Crystal Palace  1.17 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Shelbourne x Crystal Palace:
🔮 Crystal Palace wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Crystal Palace, you can win up to $585.00!
Some important points for the tip for Shelbourne x Crystal Palace:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Shelbourne in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-211.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Crystal Palace in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $443.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Crystal Palace scored at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from Shelbourne x Crystal Palace for the UEFA Conference League – 11 of December
🏟️ Shelbourne X Crystal Palace – UEFA Conference League
📅 11 of December, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Shelbourne – Winning probability: 0.35% | Fair line: 287.44
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.36% | Fair line: 73.33
🔴 Crystal Palace – Winning probability: 98.29% | Fair line: 1.02
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.75 Shelbourne
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Shelbourne x Crystal Palace right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1449962 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Shelbourne x Crystal Palace
Is it a good idea to bet on Shelbourne?
🔵 Shelbourne: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 12.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
- And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 10 times – profiting $63.80;
- And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$926.20.
Is it worth betting on Crystal Palace?
🔴 Crystal Palace: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 98.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.17. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 980 times – this would give you a profit of $166.60
- And would lose other 20 times – losing -$20.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$146.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Shelbourne x Crystal Palace
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.75 Shelbourne
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Shelbourne x Crystal Palace
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.75 Shelbourne, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +2.25 Shelbourne.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +2.25 Shelbourne.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Shelbourne x Crystal Palace
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.
