Shelbourne x St Patricks Betting tips for September 30 in Republic of Ireland Premier Division

Our betting tip for Shelbourne x St Patricks, Monday, 30/9/2024

📅 30/9/2024 15:15

Shelbourne 2.25

X 3.18

St Patricks 3.10

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Shelbourne x St Patricks:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Shelbourne x St Patricks

The main points for the tip for Shelbourne x St Patricks: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Shelbourne in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on St Patricks in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $770.0. 👉 In the last 5 Shelbourne matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Shelbourne x St Patricks?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Shelbourne x St Patricks, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Shelbourne x St Patricks for the Republic of Ireland Premier Division – 30 of September

When the best bet on Shelbourne x St Patricks is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191189 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Shelbourne x St Patricks

Is it a good idea to bet on Shelbourne?

🔵 Shelbourne: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $500.00;
• And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $566.80;
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$173.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on St Patricks?

🔴 St Patricks: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $714.00;
• And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$54.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Shelbourne x St Patricks

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Shelbourne
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Shelbourne x St Patricks

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Shelbourne, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Shelbourne.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 St Patricks.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Shelbourne x St Patricks

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.