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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Shillong Lajong FC x Trau FC Betting tips for November 25 in India I-League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 India I-League
Shillong Lajong FC Shillong Lajong FC
PREDICTION Shillong Lajong FC wins Probability 1% 1 X 2
Trau FC Trau FC
ODD: @1.18 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Shillong Lajong FC x Trau FC Betting tips for November 25 in India I-League

Our betting tip for Shillong Lajong FC x Trau FC, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
09:00
Shillong Lajong FC Shillong Lajong FC
1.18
X
6.10
Trau FC Trau FC
12.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Shillong Lajong FC x Trau FC:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Shillong Lajong FC wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Shillong Lajong FC, you can win up to $590.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Shillong Lajong FC x Trau FC:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Shillong Lajong FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $195.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Trau FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Trau FC did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Shillong Lajong FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Shillong Lajong FC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Shillong Lajong FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Trau FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Trau FC as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Shillong Lajong FC x Trau FC

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Summary

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Analysis from Shillong Lajong FC x Trau FC for the India I-League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Shillong Lajong FC X Trau FC – India I-League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 09:00
๐Ÿ”ต Shillong Lajong FC – Winning probability: 95.40% | Fair line: 1.05
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 2.92% | Fair line: 34.26
๐Ÿ”ด Trau FC – Winning probability: 1.68% | Fair line: 59.37
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Shillong Lajong FC
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Shillong Lajong FC x Trau FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Shillong Lajong FC x Trau FC

Is it worth betting on Shillong Lajong FC?

๐Ÿ”ต Shillong Lajong FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 95.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 950 times – this would give you a profit of $171.00
  • And would lose other 50 times – losing -$50.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$121.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $153.00
  • And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$817.00.

Should you bet on Trau FC?

๐Ÿ”ด Trau FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 12.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $220.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$760.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Shillong Lajong FC x Trau FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Shillong Lajong FC
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Shillong Lajong FC x Trau FC

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Shillong Lajong FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.0 Shillong Lajong FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.0 Trau FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Shillong Lajong FC x Trau FC

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves