Shimizu S-Pulse x Montedio Yamagata Betting tips for November 25 in Japan J-League Play-Offs
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25/11/2023 04:00 |
 Shimizu S-Pulse1.53 |
X 4.22 |
Montedio Yamagata  4.95 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Shimizu S-Pulse x Montedio Yamagata:
๐ฎ Shimizu S-Pulse wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Shimizu S-Pulse, you can win up to $765.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Shimizu S-Pulse x Montedio Yamagata: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Shimizu S-Pulse in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $11.0. |
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Shimizu S-Pulse x Montedio Yamagata
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Analysis from Shimizu S-Pulse x Montedio Yamagata for the Japan J-League Play-Offs – 25 of November
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๐๏ธ Shimizu S-Pulse X Montedio Yamagata – Japan J-League Play-Offs |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Shimizu S-Pulse and Montedio Yamagata.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Shimizu S-Pulse x Montedio Yamagata
Is it worth betting on Shimizu S-Pulse?
๐ต Shimizu S-Pulse: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 80.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.53. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 810 times – profiting $429.30;
- And would have lost other 190 times – with a loss of -$190.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$239.30.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – profiting $257.60;
- And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$662.40.
Should you bet on Montedio Yamagata?
๐ด Montedio Yamagata: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – profiting $474.00;
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$406.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Shimizu S-Pulse x Montedio Yamagata
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Shimizu S-Pulse
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Shimizu S-Pulse x Montedio Yamagata
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Shimizu S-Pulse, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Shimizu S-Pulse.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Montedio Yamagata.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Shimizu S-Pulse x Montedio Yamagata
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
