Shimizu S-Pulse x Montedio Yamagata Betting tips for November 25 in Japan J-League Play-Offs
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25/11/2023 04:00 |
![]() 1.53 |
X 4.20 |
Montedio Yamagata ![]() 5.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Shimizu S-Pulse x Montedio Yamagata:
๐ฎ Shimizu S-Pulse wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Shimizu S-Pulse, you can win up to $765.00!
The main points for the tip for Shimizu S-Pulse x Montedio Yamagata: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Shimizu S-Pulse in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $11.0. |
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Shimizu S-Pulse x Montedio Yamagata
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Analysis from Shimizu S-Pulse x Montedio Yamagata for the Japan J-League Play-Offs – 25 of November
๐๏ธ Shimizu S-Pulse X Montedio Yamagata – Japan J-League Play-Offs |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Shimizu S-Pulse x Montedio Yamagata right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Shimizu S-Pulse x Montedio Yamagata
Is it worth betting on Shimizu S-Pulse?
๐ต Shimizu S-Pulse: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 810 times – profiting $429.30;
- And would lose other 190 times – having a loss of -$190.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$239.30.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $256.00
- And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$664.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Montedio Yamagata?
๐ด Montedio Yamagata: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – profiting $480.00;
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$400.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Shimizu S-Pulse x Montedio Yamagata
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Shimizu S-Pulse
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Shimizu S-Pulse x Montedio Yamagata
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Shimizu S-Pulse and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Shimizu S-Pulse.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Montedio Yamagata.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Shimizu S-Pulse x Montedio Yamagata
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.