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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Sint-Truidense x Antwerp Betting tips for November 24 in Belgium First Division A
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Belgium First Division A
Sint-Truidense Sint-Truidense
PREDICTION Antwerp Wins Probability 57% 1 X 2
Antwerp Antwerp
ODD: @1.95 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Sint-Truidense x Antwerp Betting tips for November 24 in Belgium First Division A

Our betting tip for Sint-Truidense x Antwerp, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
19:45
Sint-Truidense Sint-Truidense
3.50
X
3.55
Antwerp Antwerp
1.95

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sint-Truidense x Antwerp:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1775.00!

๐Ÿ”ฎ Antwerp wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Antwerp, you can win up to $975.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Sint-Truidense x Antwerp:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sint-Truidense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $63.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Antwerp in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-378.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sint-Truidense scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Antwerp conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Sint-Truidense conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Antwerp.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Sint-Truidense x Antwerp

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Summary

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Analysis from Sint-Truidense x Antwerp for the Belgium First Division A – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Sint-Truidense X Antwerp – Belgium First Division A
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 19:45
๐Ÿ”ต Sint-Truidense – Winning probability: 12.67% | Fair line: 7.89
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.17% | Fair line: 3.31
๐Ÿ”ด Antwerp – Winning probability: 57.16% | Fair line: 1.75
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Sint-Truidense
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sint-Truidense x Antwerp right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sint-Truidense x Antwerp

Is betting on Sint-Truidense worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Sint-Truidense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $325.00
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$545.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $765.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$65.00.

Should you bet on Antwerp?

๐Ÿ”ด Antwerp: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $541.50
  • And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$111.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sint-Truidense x Antwerp

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Sint-Truidense
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sint-Truidense x Antwerp

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Sint-Truidense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Sint-Truidense.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sint-Truidense x Antwerp

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves