Sint-Truidense x Cercle Brugge Betting tips for April 12 in Belgium First Division A

Our betting tip for Sint-Truidense x Cercle Brugge, Saturday, 12/4/2025

📅 12/4/2025 16:15

Sint-Truidense 2.30

X 3.14

Cercle Brugge 3.10

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sint-Truidense x Cercle Brugge:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Sint-Truidense x Cercle Brugge

Some important points for the tip for Sint-Truidense x Cercle Brugge: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sint-Truidense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-185.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cercle Brugge in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Sint-Truidense x Cercle Brugge, with Sint-Truidense as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Cercle Brugge matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Cercle Brugge conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Sint-Truidense conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Cercle Brugge.

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Analysis from Sint-Truidense x Cercle Brugge for the Belgium First Division A – 12 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sint-Truidense x Cercle Brugge right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sint-Truidense x Cercle Brugge

Should you bet on Sint-Truidense?

🔵 Sint-Truidense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $468.00
• And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$172.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $663.40
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$26.60, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Cercle Brugge?

🔴 Cercle Brugge: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $693.00;
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$23.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sint-Truidense x Cercle Brugge

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sint-Truidense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sint-Truidense x Cercle Brugge

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Sint-Truidense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Sint-Truidense.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Cercle Brugge.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sint-Truidense x Cercle Brugge

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.