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Home » Predictions » Sirens x Zebbug Rangers FC Betting tips for September 29 in Malta Challenge League
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 13h00 Malta Challenge League
Sirens Sirens
PREDICTION Sirens wins Probability 78% 1 X 2
Zebbug Rangers FC Zebbug Rangers FC
ODD: @1.53 Don't miss this prediction!

Sirens x Zebbug Rangers FC Betting tips for September 29 in Malta Challenge League

Our betting tip for Sirens x Zebbug Rangers FC, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
13:00
Sirens Sirens
1.53
X
3.88
Zebbug Rangers FC Zebbug Rangers FC
5.53

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sirens x Zebbug Rangers FC:

🔮 Sirens wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sirens, you can win up to $765.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Sirens x Zebbug Rangers FC:

👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Zebbug Rangers FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Zebbug Rangers FC, Sirens scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Sirens conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Zebbug Rangers FC.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Zebbug Rangers FC has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Sirens x Zebbug Rangers FC for the Malta Challenge League – 29 of September

🏟️ Sirens X Zebbug Rangers FC – Malta Challenge League
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Sirens – Winning probability: 78.21% | Fair line: 1.28
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.90% | Fair line: 8.4
🔴 Zebbug Rangers FC – Winning probability: 9.89% | Fair line: 10.11
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Sirens
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sirens x Zebbug Rangers FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sirens x Zebbug Rangers FC

Should you bet on Sirens?

🔵 Sirens: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 78.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.53. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 780 times – having a profit of $413.40;
  • And would lose other 220 times – losing -$220.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$193.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $345.60;
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$534.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Zebbug Rangers FC?

🔴 Zebbug Rangers FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.53. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $453.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$447.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sirens x Zebbug Rangers FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Sirens
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sirens x Zebbug Rangers FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Sirens and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Sirens.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Zebbug Rangers FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sirens x Zebbug Rangers FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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