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Home » Predictions » SK Pama x Jennersdorf Betting tips for September 29 in Austria Landesliga
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h00 Austria Landesliga
SK Pama SK Pama
PREDICTION No tip
Jennersdorf Jennersdorf
Don't miss this prediction!

SK Pama x Jennersdorf Betting tips for September 29 in Austria Landesliga

Our betting tip for SK Pama x Jennersdorf, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
11:00
SK Pama SK Pama
2.15
X
3.50
Jennersdorf Jennersdorf
2.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for SK Pama x Jennersdorf:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for SK Pama x Jennersdorf

Some important points for the tip for SK Pama x Jennersdorf:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SK Pama in each of its last 3 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Jennersdorf scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Jennersdorf is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from SK Pama x Jennersdorf for the Austria Landesliga – 29 of September

🏟️ SK Pama X Jennersdorf – Austria Landesliga
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 SK Pama – Winning probability: 44.91% | Fair line: 2.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.47% | Fair line: 4.89
🔴 Jennersdorf – Winning probability: 34.62% | Fair line: 2.89
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 SK Pama
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SK Pama x Jennersdorf right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SK Pama x Jennersdorf

Should you bet on SK Pama?

🔵 SK Pama: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $517.50
  • And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$32.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $500.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$300.00.

Is betting on Jennersdorf worth it?

🔴 Jennersdorf: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $595.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$55.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SK Pama x Jennersdorf

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 SK Pama
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SK Pama x Jennersdorf

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 SK Pama, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 SK Pama.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 SK Pama.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SK Pama x Jennersdorf

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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