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Home Β» Predictions Β» Smederevo x FK Radnik Surdulica Betting tips for December 1 in Serbia Prva Liga
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 12h00 Serbia Prva Liga
Smederevo Smederevo
PREDICTION No tip
FK Radnik Surdulica FK Radnik Surdulica
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Smederevo x FK Radnik Surdulica Betting tips for December 1 in Serbia Prva Liga

Our betting tip for Smederevo x FK Radnik Surdulica, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
12:00
Smederevo Smederevo
2.60
X
3.00
FK Radnik Surdulica FK Radnik Surdulica
2.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Smederevo x FK Radnik Surdulica:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Smederevo x FK Radnik Surdulica

Some important points for the tip for Smederevo x FK Radnik Surdulica:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Smederevo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-97.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FK Radnik Surdulica in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-58.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Smederevo scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, FK Radnik Surdulica conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Smederevo x FK Radnik Surdulica for the Serbia Prva Liga – 1 of December

🏟️ Smederevo X FK Radnik Surdulica – Serbia Prva Liga
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ Smederevo – Winning probability: 31.50% | Fair line: 3.17
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.03% | Fair line: 2.94
πŸ”΄ FK Radnik Surdulica – Winning probability: 34.47% | Fair line: 2.9
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Smederevo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Smederevo x FK Radnik Surdulica is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Smederevo x FK Radnik Surdulica

Is it worth betting on Smederevo?

πŸ”΅ Smederevo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $512.00
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$168.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $680.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$20.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on FK Radnik Surdulica?

πŸ”΄ FK Radnik Surdulica: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $510.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$150.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Smederevo x FK Radnik Surdulica

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Smederevo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Smederevo x FK Radnik Surdulica

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Smederevo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Smederevo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Smederevo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Smederevo x FK Radnik Surdulica

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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