Smouha x El Gounah Betting tips for December 1 in Egypt Division 1

Our betting tip for Smouha x El Gounah, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 18:00

Smouha 1.67

X 3.30

El Gounah 5.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Smouha x El Gounah:

🔮 Smouha wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Smouha, you can win up to $835.00!

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The main points for the tip for Smouha x El Gounah: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Smouha in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $140.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on El Gounah in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-130.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against El Gounah, Smouha scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Smouha matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Smouha conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against El Gounah. 👉 Smouha has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against El Gounah playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Smouha x El Gounah?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Smouha x El Gounah for the Egypt Division 1 – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Smouha x El Gounah right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Smouha x El Gounah

Is betting on Smouha worth it?

🔵 Smouha: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 70.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 710 times – having a profit of $475.70;
• And would have lost other 290 times – with a loss of -$290.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$185.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $506.00
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$274.00.

Is it worth betting on El Gounah?

🔴 El Gounah: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 70 times – profiting $294.00;
• And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$636.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Smouha x El Gounah

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Smouha
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Smouha x El Gounah

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Smouha, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Smouha.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Smouha x El Gounah

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.