Socuéllamos x Conquense Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
| 📅 14/12/2025 11:00 |
 Socuéllamos2.45 |
X 2.70 |
Conquense  3.04 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Socuéllamos x Conquense:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1350.00!
Important information for your tip for Socuéllamos x Conquense:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Socuéllamos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Conquense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Conquense, Socuéllamos scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Conquense matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Socuéllamos x Conquense, with Socuéllamos as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Socuéllamos conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Conquense.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Conquense has not lost any of them.
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Analysis from Socuéllamos x Conquense for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 – 14 of December
🏟️ Socuéllamos X Conquense – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Socuéllamos – Winning probability: 36.70% | Fair line: 2.72
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 38.31% | Fair line: 2.61
🔴 Conquense – Winning probability: 24.99% | Fair line: 4.0
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Socuéllamos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Socuéllamos x Conquense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452657 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Socuéllamos x Conquense
Is it a good idea to bet on Socuéllamos?
🔵 Socuéllamos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 370 times – profiting $536.50;
- And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$93.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $646.00;
- And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$26.00.
Is it worth betting on Conquense?
🔴 Conquense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $510.00;
- And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$240.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Socuéllamos x Conquense
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Socuéllamos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Socuéllamos x Conquense
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Socuéllamos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Socuéllamos.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Socuéllamos x Conquense
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.
