Sol de America x Libertad Asuncion Betting tips for October 30 in Paraguay Cup

Our betting tip for Sol de America x Libertad Asuncion, Wednesday, 30/10/2024

📅 30/10/2024 20:30

Sol de America 2.41

X 2.89

Libertad Asuncion 2.92

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sol de America x Libertad Asuncion:

🔮 Libertad Asuncion wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Libertad Asuncion, you can win up to $1460.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Sol de America x Libertad Asuncion: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sol de America in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-391.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Libertad Asuncion in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-176.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Libertad Asuncion scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Sol de America matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sol de America conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Sol de America conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Libertad Asuncion. 👉 Even as a visitor, Libertad Asuncion won the last 3 head-to-head matches Sol de America´s territory

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Analysis from Sol de America x Libertad Asuncion for the Paraguay Cup – 30 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sol de America x Libertad Asuncion right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1212930 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sol de America x Libertad Asuncion

Is it worth betting on Sol de America?

🔵 Sol de America: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.41. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $380.70;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$349.30.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.89. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $396.90
• And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$393.10.

Should you bet on Libertad Asuncion?

🔴 Libertad Asuncion: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $998.40;
• And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$518.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sol de America x Libertad Asuncion

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sol de America
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sol de America x Libertad Asuncion

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Sol de America, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Sol de America.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Libertad Asuncion.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sol de America x Libertad Asuncion

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.