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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Sonderjyske x Naestved Betting tips for November 24 in Denmark Division 1
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Denmark Division 1
Sonderjyske Sonderjyske
PREDICTION Sonderjyske wins Probability 1% 1 X 2
Naestved Naestved
ODD: @1.29 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Sonderjyske x Naestved Betting tips for November 24 in Denmark Division 1

Our betting tip for Sonderjyske x Naestved, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
18:00
Sonderjyske Sonderjyske
1.29
X
5.30
Naestved Naestved
7.86

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sonderjyske x Naestved:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Sonderjyske wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sonderjyske, you can win up to $645.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Sonderjyske x Naestved:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sonderjyske in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-28.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Sonderjyske did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Sonderjyske scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Naestved conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Sonderjyske is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Naestved as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Sonderjyske x Naestved

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sonderjyske x Naestved?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sonderjyske x Naestved, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Sonderjyske x Naestved for the Denmark Division 1 – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Sonderjyske X Naestved – Denmark Division 1
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 18:00
๐Ÿ”ต Sonderjyske – Winning probability: 91.05% | Fair line: 1.1
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.15% | Fair line: 13.98
๐Ÿ”ด Naestved – Winning probability: 1.80% | Fair line: 55.68
โš– Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Sonderjyske
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sonderjyske and Naestved.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sonderjyske x Naestved

Should you bet on Sonderjyske?

๐Ÿ”ต Sonderjyske: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 91.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.29. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 910 times – profiting $263.90;
  • And would lose other 90 times – losing -$90.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$173.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $301.00;
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$629.00.

Is it worth betting on Naestved?

๐Ÿ”ด Naestved: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.86. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $137.20
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$842.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Sonderjyske x Naestved

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Sonderjyske
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sonderjyske x Naestved

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.0 Sonderjyske, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Sonderjyske.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Sonderjyske.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sonderjyske x Naestved

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves