Sondrio x US Folgore Caratese Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 21/12/2025 13:30 |
Sondrio3.60 |
X 3.40 |
US Folgore Caratese ![]() 1.85 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sondrio x US Folgore Caratese:
👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Sondrio x US Folgore Caratese
The main points for the tip for Sondrio x US Folgore Caratese:
👉 If you had bet $100 on US Folgore Caratese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $33.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sondrio scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, US Folgore Caratese scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Sondrio conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against US Folgore Caratese.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, US Folgore Caratese has not lost any of them.
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Sondrio x US Folgore Caratese?
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Analysis from Sondrio x US Folgore Caratese for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December
🏟️ Sondrio X US Folgore Caratese – Italy Serie D
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Sondrio – Winning probability: 20.42% | Fair line: 4.9
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.63% | Fair line: 4.42
🔴 US Folgore Caratese – Winning probability: 56.95% | Fair line: 1.76
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Sondrio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sondrio and US Folgore Caratese.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1455219 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Sondrio x US Folgore Caratese
Should you bet on Sondrio?
🔵 Sondrio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $520.00;
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 230 times – profiting $552.00;
- And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$218.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on US Folgore Caratese?
🔴 US Folgore Caratese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $484.50;
- And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$54.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sondrio x US Folgore Caratese
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Sondrio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sondrio x US Folgore Caratese
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Sondrio and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Sondrio.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sondrio x US Folgore Caratese
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Sondrio