Sousa EC x Fortaleza Betting tips for March 20 in Brazil Copa Nordeste
| 📅 20/3/2025 00:30 |
 Sousa EC5.25 |
X 3.60 |
Fortaleza  1.53 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sousa EC x Fortaleza:
🔮 Fortaleza wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fortaleza, you can win up to $765.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Sousa EC x Fortaleza: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sousa EC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-370.0. |
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Analysis from Sousa EC x Fortaleza for the Brazil Copa Nordeste – 20 of March
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🏟️ Sousa EC X Fortaleza – Brazil Copa Nordeste |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sousa EC x Fortaleza right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1284629 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Sousa EC x Fortaleza
Is it worth betting on Sousa EC?
🔵 Sousa EC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $467.50;
- And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$422.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $468.00
- And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$352.00.
Is betting on Fortaleza worth it?
🔴 Fortaleza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 70.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.53. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $376.30
- And would lose other 290 times – having a loss of -$290.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$86.30.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sousa EC x Fortaleza
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Sousa EC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sousa EC x Fortaleza
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Sousa EC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Sousa EC.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Fortaleza.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sousa EC x Fortaleza
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
