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Home » Predictions » Others » SP Villafranca x Olivenza Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 14
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 11h30 Spain Tercera Group 14
SP Villafranca SP Villafranca
PREDICTION SP Villafranca wins Probability 88% 1 X 2
Olivenza Olivenza
ODD: @1.3 Don't miss this prediction!

SP Villafranca x Olivenza Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 14

Our betting tip for SP Villafranca x Olivenza, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
11:30
SP Villafranca SP Villafranca
1.30
X
4.50
Olivenza Olivenza
8.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for SP Villafranca x Olivenza:

🔮 SP Villafranca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SP Villafranca, you can win up to $650.00!

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Important information for your tip for SP Villafranca x Olivenza:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SP Villafranca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-309.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Olivenza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1400.0.
👉 In the last 3 SP Villafranca matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between SP Villafranca x Olivenza, with SP Villafranca as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 Olivenza matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Olivenza conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 SP Villafranca is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on SP Villafranca x Olivenza?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on SP Villafranca x Olivenza:

Analysis from SP Villafranca x Olivenza for the Spain Tercera Group 14 – 1 of December

🏟️ SP Villafranca X Olivenza – Spain Tercera Group 14
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 11:30
🔵 SP Villafranca – Winning probability: 88.69% | Fair line: 1.13
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.04% | Fair line: 11.06
🔴 Olivenza – Winning probability: 2.27% | Fair line: 44.13
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 SP Villafranca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on SP Villafranca x Olivenza is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SP Villafranca x Olivenza

Should you bet on SP Villafranca?

🔵 SP Villafranca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 88.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 890 times – this would give you a profit of $267.00
  • And would lose other 110 times – losing -$110.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$157.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $315.00;
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$595.00.

Is betting on Olivenza worth it?

🔴 Olivenza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $140.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$840.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SP Villafranca x Olivenza

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 SP Villafranca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SP Villafranca x Olivenza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 SP Villafranca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 SP Villafranca.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Olivenza.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SP Villafranca x Olivenza

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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