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Home » Predictions » Others » Spakenburg x Katwijk Betting tips for October 31 in Netherlands Cup
Thursday, 31 October 2024, 19h00 Netherlands Cup
Spakenburg Spakenburg
PREDICTION Spakenburg wins Probability 54% 1 X 2
Katwijk Katwijk
ODD: @2.03 Don't miss this prediction!

Spakenburg x Katwijk Betting tips for October 31 in Netherlands Cup

Our betting tip for Spakenburg x Katwijk, Thursday, 31/10/2024
📅 31/10/2024
19:00
Spakenburg Spakenburg
2.03
X
3.50
Katwijk Katwijk
3.13

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Spakenburg x Katwijk:

🔮 Spakenburg wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Spakenburg, you can win up to $1015.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Spakenburg x Katwijk:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Katwijk in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-58.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Katwijk scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Katwijk conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Katwijk has not lost any of them.
👉 Spakenburg has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Katwijk playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Spakenburg x Katwijk?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Spakenburg x Katwijk, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Spakenburg x Katwijk for the Netherlands Cup – 31 of October

🏟️ Spakenburg X Katwijk – Netherlands Cup
📅 31 of October, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 Spakenburg – Winning probability: 54.22% | Fair line: 1.84
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.42% | Fair line: 6.09
🔴 Katwijk – Winning probability: 29.36% | Fair line: 3.41
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Spakenburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Spakenburg and Katwijk.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1213227 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Spakenburg x Katwijk

Is it a good idea to bet on Spakenburg?

🔵 Spakenburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.03. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – profiting $556.20;
  • And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$96.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $400.00
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$440.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Katwijk?

🔴 Katwijk: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.13. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $617.70
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$92.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Spakenburg x Katwijk

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Spakenburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Spakenburg x Katwijk

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Spakenburg and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Spakenburg.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Spakenburg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Spakenburg x Katwijk

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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