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Home » Predictions » Spal x Torres Betting tips for November 23 in Italy Serie C Group B
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 16h30 Italy Serie C Group B
Spal Spal
PREDICTION Torres Wins Probability 53% 1 X 2
Torres Torres
ODD: @2.38 Don't miss this prediction!

Spal x Torres Betting tips for November 23 in Italy Serie C Group B

Our betting tip for Spal x Torres, Saturday, 23/11/2024
📅 23/11/2024
16:30
Spal Spal
2.60
X
3.20
Torres Torres
2.38

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Spal x Torres:

🔮 Torres wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Torres, you can win up to $1190.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Spal x Torres:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Spal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Torres in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $332.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Torres scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Spal conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Torres conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Torres has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Spal x Torres for the Italy Serie C Group B – 23 of November

🏟️ Spal X Torres – Italy Serie C Group B
📅 23 of November, 2024 – 16:30
🔵 Spal – Winning probability: 21.54% | Fair line: 4.64
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.80% | Fair line: 4.03
🔴 Torres – Winning probability: 53.65% | Fair line: 1.86
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Spal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Spal x Torres is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1225516 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Spal x Torres

Should you bet on Spal?

🔵 Spal: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $352.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$428.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $550.00
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$200.00.

Should you bet on Torres?

🔴 Torres: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $745.20;
  • And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$285.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Spal x Torres

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Spal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Spal x Torres

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Spal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Spal.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Torres.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Spal x Torres

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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