Spal x U.S. Ancona Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Serie C Group B
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25/11/2023 15:15 |
 Spal2.20 |
X 3.00 |
U.S. Ancona  3.20 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Spal x U.S. Ancona:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!
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Important information for your tip for Spal x U.S. Ancona: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Spal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-327.0. |
๐ Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Spal x U.S. Ancona
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Spal x U.S. Ancona?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Spal x U.S. Ancona, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Spal x U.S. Ancona for the Italy Serie C Group B – 25 of November
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๐๏ธ Spal X U.S. Ancona – Italy Serie C Group B |
When the best bet on Spal x U.S. Ancona is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Spal x U.S. Ancona
Is it worth betting on Spal?
๐ต Spal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $432.00;
- And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$208.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $800.00;
- And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$200.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on U.S. Ancona?
๐ด U.S. Ancona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 240 times – profiting $528.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$232.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Spal x U.S. Ancona
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Spal
โฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Spal x U.S. Ancona
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Spal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Spal.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 U.S. Ancona.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Spal x U.S. Ancona
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.
