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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Spal x U.S. Ancona Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Serie C Group B
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Italy Serie C Group B
Spal Spal
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 24% 1 X 2
U.S. Ancona U.S. Ancona
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Spal x U.S. Ancona Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Serie C Group B

Our betting tip for Spal x U.S. Ancona, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:15
Spal Spal
2.20
X
3.00
U.S. Ancona U.S. Ancona
3.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Spal x U.S. Ancona:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

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Important information for your tip for Spal x U.S. Ancona:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Spal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-327.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on U.S. Ancona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Spal matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 U.S. Ancona matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, U.S. Ancona conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Spal x U.S. Ancona

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Spal x U.S. Ancona?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Spal x U.S. Ancona, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Spal x U.S. Ancona for the Italy Serie C Group B – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Spal X U.S. Ancona – Italy Serie C Group B
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:15
๐Ÿ”ต Spal – Winning probability: 35.68% | Fair line: 2.8
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 40.04% | Fair line: 2.5
๐Ÿ”ด U.S. Ancona – Winning probability: 24.29% | Fair line: 4.12
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Spal
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Spal x U.S. Ancona is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Spal x U.S. Ancona

Is it worth betting on Spal?

๐Ÿ”ต Spal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $432.00;
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$208.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $800.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$200.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on U.S. Ancona?

๐Ÿ”ด U.S. Ancona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $528.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$232.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Spal x U.S. Ancona

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Spal
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Spal x U.S. Ancona

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Spal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Spal.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 U.S. Ancona.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Spal x U.S. Ancona

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves