Spal x Virtus Entella Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie C Group B

Our betting tip for Spal x Virtus Entella, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 13:30

Spal 2.50

X 2.90

Virtus Entella 2.72

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Spal x Virtus Entella:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Spal x Virtus Entella

The main points for the tip for Spal x Virtus Entella: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Spal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $95.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Virtus Entella in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $63.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Spal scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Spal matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Spal conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Virtus Entella conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Spal has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Virtus Entella playing at home.

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Analysis from Spal x Virtus Entella for the Italy Serie C Group B – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Spal x Virtus Entella right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Spal x Virtus Entella

Is betting on Spal worth it?

🔵 Spal: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 350 times – profiting $525.00;
• And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$125.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $627.00;
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$43.00.

Is betting on Virtus Entella worth it?

🔴 Virtus Entella: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $550.40
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$129.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Spal x Virtus Entella

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Spal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Spal x Virtus Entella

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Spal and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Spal.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Virtus Entella.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Spal x Virtus Entella

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.