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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Sparta Rotterdam Reserves x Katwijk Betting tips for November 25 in Netherlands Tweede Divisie
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Netherlands Tweede Divisie
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
PREDICTION Katwijk Wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Katwijk Katwijk
ODD: @2.71 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Sparta Rotterdam Reserves x Katwijk Betting tips for November 25 in Netherlands Tweede Divisie

Our betting tip for Sparta Rotterdam Reserves x Katwijk, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
14:30
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
2.39
X
3.45
Katwijk Katwijk
2.71

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sparta Rotterdam Reserves x Katwijk:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Katwijk wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Katwijk, you can win up to $1355.00!

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The main points for the tip for Sparta Rotterdam Reserves x Katwijk:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sparta Rotterdam Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $35.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Katwijk in each of its last 4 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-30.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Sparta Rotterdam Reserves has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Katwijk playing at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Sparta Rotterdam Reserves x Katwijk

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Summary

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Analysis from Sparta Rotterdam Reserves x Katwijk for the Netherlands Tweede Divisie – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Sparta Rotterdam Reserves X Katwijk – Netherlands Tweede Divisie
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 14:30
๐Ÿ”ต Sparta Rotterdam Reserves – Winning probability: 27.51% | Fair line: 3.63
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.67% | Fair line: 4.84
๐Ÿ”ด Katwijk – Winning probability: 51.82% | Fair line: 1.93
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Sparta Rotterdam Reserves x Katwijk is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sparta Rotterdam Reserves x Katwijk

Is it worth betting on Sparta Rotterdam Reserves?

๐Ÿ”ต Sparta Rotterdam Reserves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.39. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $389.20;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$330.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $514.50;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$275.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Katwijk?

๐Ÿ”ด Katwijk: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.71. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $889.20;
  • And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$409.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Sparta Rotterdam Reserves x Katwijk

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sparta Rotterdam Reserves x Katwijk

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Sparta Rotterdam Reserves and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Sparta Rotterdam Reserves.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Katwijk.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sparta Rotterdam Reserves x Katwijk

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves