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Home » Predictions » Others » Spartak Varna x FC Hebar Pazardzhik Betting tips for November 22 in Bulgaria First League
Friday, 22 November 2024, 15h00 Bulgaria First League
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
PREDICTION Spartak Varna wins Probability 76% 1 X 2
FC Hebar Pazardzhik FC Hebar Pazardzhik
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Spartak Varna x FC Hebar Pazardzhik Betting tips for November 22 in Bulgaria First League

Our betting tip for Spartak Varna x FC Hebar Pazardzhik, Friday, 22/11/2024
📅 22/11/2024
15:00
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
1.50
X
3.70
FC Hebar Pazardzhik FC Hebar Pazardzhik
6.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Spartak Varna x FC Hebar Pazardzhik:

🔮 Spartak Varna wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Spartak Varna, you can win up to $750.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Spartak Varna x FC Hebar Pazardzhik:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Spartak Varna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-85.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Hebar Pazardzhik in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Spartak Varna scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Spartak Varna x FC Hebar Pazardzhik?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Spartak Varna x FC Hebar Pazardzhik, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Spartak Varna x FC Hebar Pazardzhik for the Bulgaria First League – 22 of November

🏟️ Spartak Varna X FC Hebar Pazardzhik – Bulgaria First League
📅 22 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Spartak Varna – Winning probability: 76.26% | Fair line: 1.31
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.93% | Fair line: 7.73
🔴 FC Hebar Pazardzhik – Winning probability: 10.81% | Fair line: 9.25
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Spartak Varna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Spartak Varna and FC Hebar Pazardzhik.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1225593 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Spartak Varna x FC Hebar Pazardzhik

Is it a good idea to bet on Spartak Varna?

🔵 Spartak Varna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 76.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 760 times – profiting $380.00;
  • And would lose other 240 times – having a loss of -$240.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$140.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $351.00;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$519.00.

Is it worth betting on FC Hebar Pazardzhik?

🔴 FC Hebar Pazardzhik: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $550.00
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$340.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Spartak Varna x FC Hebar Pazardzhik

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Spartak Varna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Spartak Varna x FC Hebar Pazardzhik

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Spartak Varna and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Spartak Varna.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 FC Hebar Pazardzhik.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Spartak Varna x FC Hebar Pazardzhik

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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