Sport Recife x Ceara Betting tips for October 7 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Sport Recife x Ceara, Monday, 7/10/2024

📅 7/10/2024 21:00

Sport Recife 2.00

X 3.05

Ceara 3.80

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sport Recife x Ceara:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Sport Recife x Ceara

The main points for the tip for Sport Recife x Ceara: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sport Recife in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-39.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ceara in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sport Recife scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Ceara scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Ceara, Sport Recife scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Ceara conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Sport Recife has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Ceara playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sport Recife x Ceara?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Sport Recife x Ceara for the Brazil Serie B – 7 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sport Recife and Ceara.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1196619 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sport Recife x Ceara

Should you bet on Sport Recife?

🔵 Sport Recife: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 470 times – profiting $470.00;
• And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$60.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $574.00
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$146.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ceara?

🔴 Ceara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $700.00
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$50.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sport Recife x Ceara

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sport Recife
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sport Recife x Ceara

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Sport Recife and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Sport Recife. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sport Recife x Ceara

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.