Sport Recife x Retro FC Brasil Betting tips for April 3 in Brazil Campeonato Pernambucano
| 📅 3/4/2025 00:30 |
 Sport Recife1.46 |
X 3.75 |
Retro FC Brasil  6.08 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sport Recife x Retro FC Brasil:
🔮 Sport Recife wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sport Recife, you can win up to $730.00!
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The main points for the tip for Sport Recife x Retro FC Brasil: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sport Recife in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $31.0. |
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Analysis from Sport Recife x Retro FC Brasil for the Brazil Campeonato Pernambucano – 3 of April
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🏟️ Sport Recife X Retro FC Brasil – Brazil Campeonato Pernambucano |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sport Recife x Retro FC Brasil right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1294791 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Sport Recife x Retro FC Brasil
Is it worth betting on Sport Recife?
🔵 Sport Recife: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 83.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 840 times – profiting $386.40;
- And would lose other 160 times – having a loss of -$160.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$226.40.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 130 times – profiting $357.50;
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$512.50.
Is it worth betting on Retro FC Brasil?
🔴 Retro FC Brasil: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 40 times – profiting $203.20;
- And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$756.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sport Recife x Retro FC Brasil
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Sport Recife
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sport Recife x Retro FC Brasil
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Sport Recife and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Sport Recife.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Sport Recife.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sport Recife x Retro FC Brasil
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
