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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Sport Recife x Sampaio Correa Betting tips for November 25 in Brazil Serie B
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Brazil Serie B
Sport Recife Sport Recife
PREDICTION Sport Recife wins Probability 5% 1 X 2
Sampaio Correa Sampaio Correa
ODD: @1.42 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Sport Recife x Sampaio Correa Betting tips for November 25 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Sport Recife x Sampaio Correa, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
20:00
Sport Recife Sport Recife
1.42
X
4.00
Sampaio Correa Sampaio Correa
7.10

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sport Recife x Sampaio Correa:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Sport Recife wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sport Recife, you can win up to $710.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Sport Recife x Sampaio Correa:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sport Recife in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-215.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sampaio Correa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Sampaio Correa, Sport Recife scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Sport Recife x Sampaio Correa, with Sport Recife as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Sport Recife has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Sampaio Correa playing at home.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Sport Recife x Sampaio Correa

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Sport Recife x Sampaio Correa for the Brazil Serie B – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Sport Recife X Sampaio Correa – Brazil Serie B
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 20:00
๐Ÿ”ต Sport Recife – Winning probability: 76.54% | Fair line: 1.31
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.37% | Fair line: 5.44
๐Ÿ”ด Sampaio Correa – Winning probability: 5.09% | Fair line: 19.64
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Sport Recife
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sport Recife and Sampaio Correa.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sport Recife x Sampaio Correa

Is it worth betting on Sport Recife?

๐Ÿ”ต Sport Recife: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 76.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 770 times – this would give you a profit of $323.40
  • And would have lost other 230 times – with a loss of -$230.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$93.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $540.00;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$280.00.

Is it worth betting on Sampaio Correa?

๐Ÿ”ด Sampaio Correa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – profiting $305.00;
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$645.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Sport Recife x Sampaio Correa

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Sport Recife
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sport Recife x Sampaio Correa

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Sport Recife and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Sport Recife. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sport Recife x Sampaio Correa

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves