Sport Recife x Santos Betting tips for November 24 in Brazil Serie B
| 📅 24/11/2024 21:30 |
 Sport Recife1.59 |
X 3.50 |
Santos  5.25 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sport Recife x Santos:
🔮 Sport Recife wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sport Recife, you can win up to $795.00!
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Important information for your tip for Sport Recife x Santos: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sport Recife in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-1.0. |
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Analysis from Sport Recife x Santos for the Brazil Serie B – 24 of November
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🏟️ Sport Recife X Santos – Brazil Serie B |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sport Recife x Santos right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1226746 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Sport Recife x Santos
Is betting on Sport Recife worth it?
🔵 Sport Recife: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 79.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.59. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 800 times – this would give you a profit of $472.00
- And would lose other 200 times – having a loss of -$200.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$272.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $275.00
- And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$615.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Santos?
🔴 Santos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $382.50;
- And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$527.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sport Recife x Santos
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sport Recife
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sport Recife x Santos
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Sport Recife, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Sport Recife.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Santos.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sport Recife x Santos
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
