Sporting Covilha x Lusitania Betting tips for April 16 in Portugal Liga 3
| 📅 16/4/2025 18:45 |
 Sporting Covilha1.81 |
X 3.30 |
Lusitania  3.88 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sporting Covilha x Lusitania:
🔮 Sporting Covilha wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting Covilha, you can win up to $905.00!
|
The main points for the tip for Sporting Covilha x Lusitania: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting Covilha in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-212.0. |
Looking for another bookie to bet on Sporting Covilha x Lusitania?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sporting Covilha x Lusitania, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Sporting Covilha x Lusitania for the Portugal Liga 3 – 16 of April
|
🏟️ Sporting Covilha X Lusitania – Portugal Liga 3 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sporting Covilha and Lusitania.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1304980 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Sporting Covilha x Lusitania
Is it worth betting on Sporting Covilha?
🔵 Sporting Covilha: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 61.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.81. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $494.10;
- And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$104.10.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $575.00
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$175.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Lusitania?
🔴 Lusitania: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $403.20;
- And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$456.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting Covilha x Lusitania
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sporting Covilha
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting Covilha x Lusitania
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Sporting Covilha, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Sporting Covilha. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting Covilha x Lusitania
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
