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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Sporting Cristal x Universitario de Deportes Betting tips for October 24 in Peru Liga 1
Thursday, 24 October 2024, 01h30 Peru Liga 1
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal
PREDICTION No tip
Universitario de Deportes Universitario de Deportes
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Sporting Cristal x Universitario de Deportes Betting tips for October 24 in Peru Liga 1

Our betting tip for Sporting Cristal x Universitario de Deportes, Thursday, 24/10/2024
πŸ“… 24/10/2024
01:30
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal
2.55
X
2.70
Universitario de Deportes Universitario de Deportes
2.97

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sporting Cristal x Universitario de Deportes:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Sporting Cristal x Universitario de Deportes

Important information for your tip for Sporting Cristal x Universitario de Deportes:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sporting Cristal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $19.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Universitario de Deportes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-147.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sporting Cristal scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Universitario de Deportes scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Sporting Cristal is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Universitario de Deportes has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ Sporting Cristal has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Universitario de Deportes playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Sporting Cristal x Universitario de Deportes?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sporting Cristal x Universitario de Deportes, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Sporting Cristal x Universitario de Deportes for the Peru Liga 1 – 24 of October

🏟️ Sporting Cristal X Universitario de Deportes – Peru Liga 1
πŸ“… 24 of October, 2024 – 01:30
πŸ”΅ Sporting Cristal – Winning probability: 41.06% | Fair line: 2.44
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.00% | Fair line: 3.12
πŸ”΄ Universitario de Deportes – Winning probability: 26.94% | Fair line: 3.71
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sporting Cristal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sporting Cristal x Universitario de Deportes right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1207668 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sporting Cristal x Universitario de Deportes

Is betting on Sporting Cristal worth it?

πŸ”΅ Sporting Cristal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $635.50
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$45.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $544.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$136.00.

Is it worth betting on Universitario de Deportes?

πŸ”΄ Universitario de Deportes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.97. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $531.90;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$198.10.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting Cristal x Universitario de Deportes

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sporting Cristal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting Cristal x Universitario de Deportes

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Sporting Cristal and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Sporting Cristal.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Sporting Cristal.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting Cristal x Universitario de Deportes

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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