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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Sporting San Jose x Cartagines Betting tips for January 17 in Costa Rica Primera Division
Friday, 17 January 2025, 00h00 Costa Rica Primera Division
Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose
PREDICTION No tip
Cartagines Cartagines
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Sporting San Jose x Cartagines Betting tips for January 17 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Sporting San Jose x Cartagines, Friday, 17/1/2025
πŸ“… 17/1/2025
00:00
Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose
2.58
X
3.08
Cartagines Cartagines
2.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sporting San Jose x Cartagines:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Sporting San Jose x Cartagines

Important information for your tip for Sporting San Jose x Cartagines:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sporting San Jose in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $222.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cartagines in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Cartagines, Sporting San Jose scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sporting San Jose conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Cartagines conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Sporting San Jose has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Cartagines playing at home.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Cartagines as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Sporting San Jose x Cartagines for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 17 of January

🏟️ Sporting San Jose X Cartagines – Costa Rica Primera Division
πŸ“… 17 of January, 2025 – 00:00
πŸ”΅ Sporting San Jose – Winning probability: 33.11% | Fair line: 3.02
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.98% | Fair line: 3.34
πŸ”΄ Cartagines – Winning probability: 36.90% | Fair line: 2.71
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sporting San Jose
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Sporting San Jose x Cartagines is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1246743 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sporting San Jose x Cartagines

Should you bet on Sporting San Jose?

πŸ”΅ Sporting San Jose: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $521.40;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$148.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $624.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$76.00.

Is betting on Cartagines worth it?

πŸ”΄ Cartagines: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $592.00;
  • And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$38.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting San Jose x Cartagines

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sporting San Jose
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting San Jose x Cartagines

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Sporting San Jose, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Sporting San Jose.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Sporting San Jose.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting San Jose x Cartagines

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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