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Home » Predictions » Others » Sporting San Jose x Puntarenas Betting tips for September 30 in Costa Rica Primera Division
Monday, 30 September 2024, 22h00 Costa Rica Primera Division
Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose
PREDICTION Sporting San Jose wins Probability 69% 1 X 2
Puntarenas Puntarenas
ODD: @1.62 Don't miss this prediction!

Sporting San Jose x Puntarenas Betting tips for September 30 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Sporting San Jose x Puntarenas, Monday, 30/9/2024
📅 30/9/2024
22:00
Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose
1.62
X
3.60
Puntarenas Puntarenas
4.68

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sporting San Jose x Puntarenas:

🔮 Sporting San Jose wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting San Jose, you can win up to $810.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Sporting San Jose x Puntarenas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting San Jose in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Puntarenas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sporting San Jose conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Puntarenas conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Puntarenas as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sporting San Jose x Puntarenas?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sporting San Jose x Puntarenas, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Sporting San Jose x Puntarenas for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 30 of September

🏟️ Sporting San Jose X Puntarenas – Costa Rica Primera Division
📅 30 of September, 2024 – 22:00
🔵 Sporting San Jose – Winning probability: 69.81% | Fair line: 1.43
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.98% | Fair line: 5.0
🔴 Puntarenas – Winning probability: 10.21% | Fair line: 9.8
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Sporting San Jose
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sporting San Jose x Puntarenas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192575 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sporting San Jose x Puntarenas

Is it a good idea to bet on Sporting San Jose?

🔵 Sporting San Jose: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 69.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 700 times – having a profit of $434.00;
  • And would lose other 300 times – having a loss of -$300.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$134.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $520.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Puntarenas?

🔴 Puntarenas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $368.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$532.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting San Jose x Puntarenas

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Sporting San Jose
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting San Jose x Puntarenas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Sporting San Jose, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Sporting San Jose.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Sporting San Jose.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting San Jose x Puntarenas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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