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Home » Predictions » Others » Sporting San Miguelito x Potros Del Este Betting tips for April 21 in Panama LPF
Sunday, 21 April 2024, 23h15 Panama LPF
Sporting San Miguelito Sporting San Miguelito
PREDICTION No tip
Potros Del Este Potros Del Este
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Sporting San Miguelito x Potros Del Este Betting tips for April 21 in Panama LPF

Our betting tip for Sporting San Miguelito x Potros Del Este, Sunday, 21/4/2024
📅 21/4/2024
23:15
Sporting San Miguelito Sporting San Miguelito
2.37
X
3.10
Potros Del Este Potros Del Este
2.70

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sporting San Miguelito x Potros Del Este:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Sporting San Miguelito x Potros Del Este

The main points for the tip for Sporting San Miguelito x Potros Del Este:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting San Miguelito in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Potros Del Este in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1068.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sporting San Miguelito conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Sporting San Miguelito conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Potros Del Este.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Potros Del Este has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sporting San Miguelito x Potros Del Este?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sporting San Miguelito x Potros Del Este, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Sporting San Miguelito x Potros Del Este for the Panama LPF – 21 of April

🏟️ Sporting San Miguelito X Potros Del Este – Panama LPF
📅 21 of April, 2024 – 23:15
🔵 Sporting San Miguelito – Winning probability: 31.80% | Fair line: 3.14
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.78% | Fair line: 3.15
🔴 Potros Del Este – Winning probability: 36.42% | Fair line: 2.75
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sporting San Miguelito
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Sporting San Miguelito x Potros Del Este is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1101562 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sporting San Miguelito x Potros Del Este

Is betting on Sporting San Miguelito worth it?

🔵 Sporting San Miguelito: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $438.40;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$241.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $672.00
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$8.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on Potros Del Este?

🔴 Potros Del Este: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $612.00
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$28.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting San Miguelito x Potros Del Este

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sporting San Miguelito
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting San Miguelito x Potros Del Este

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Sporting San Miguelito and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Sporting San Miguelito.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Sporting San Miguelito.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting San Miguelito x Potros Del Este

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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